Cognitive Training for Reduction of Delirium in Patients Undergoing Cardiac Surgery: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

IMPORTANCE: Postoperative delirium is a common and impactful neuropsychiatric complication in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery. Cognitive training may enhance cognitive reserve, thereby reducing postoperative delirium. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether preoperative cognitive training reduces the incidence of delirium in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. DESIGN, SETTING, and PARTICIPANTS: This prospective, single-blind, randomized clinical trial was conducted at 3 university teaching hospitals in southeastern China with enrollment between April 2022 and May 2023. Eligible participants included those scheduled for elective coronary artery bypass grafting who consented and enrolled at least 10 days before surgery. INTERVENTIONS: Participating patients were randomly assigned 1:1, stratified by site, to either routine care or cognitive training, which included substantial practice with online tasks designed to enhance cognitive functions including memory, imagination, reasoning, reaction time, attention, and processing speed. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was occurrence of delirium during postoperative days 1 to 7 or until hospital discharge, diagnosed using the Confusion Assessment Method or the Confusion Assessment Method for Intensive Care Units. Secondary outcomes were postoperative cognitive dysfunction, delirium characteristics, and all-cause mortality within 30 days following the operation. RESULTS: A total of 218 patients were randomized and 208 (median [IQR] age, 66 [58-70] years; 64 female [30.8%] and 144 male [69.2%]) were included in final analysis, with 102 randomized to cognitive training and 106 randomized to routine care. Of all participants, 95 (45.7%) had only a primary school education and 54 (26.0%) had finished high school. In the cognitive training group, 28 participants (27.5%) developed delirium compared with 46 participants (43.4%) randomized to routine care. Those receiving cognitive training were 57% less likely to develop delirium compared with those receiving routine care (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.43; 95% CI, 0.23-0.77; P = .007). Significant differences were observed in the incidence of severe delirium (aOR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.25-0.82; P = .01), median (IQR) duration of delirium (0 [0-1] days for cognitive training vs 0 [0-2] days for routine care; P = .008), and median (IQR) number of delirium-positive days (0 [0-1] days for cognitive training vs 0 [0-2] days for routine care; P = .007). No other secondary outcomes differed significantly. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this randomized trial of 208 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting, preoperative cognitive training reduced the incidence of postoperative delirium. However, our primary analysis was based on fewer than 75 events and should therefore be considered exploratory and a basis for future larger trials. Trial Registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry Identifier: ChiCTR2200058243.

Incidence and risk factors of chronic postoperative pain in same-day surgery: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The amount of same-day surgery has increased markedly worldwide in recent decades, but there remains limited evidence on chronic postsurgical pain in this setting. METHODS: We assessed pain 90 days after ambulatory surgery in an international, multicentre prospective cohort study of patients ≥45 years old with comorbidities or ≥65 years old. Pain was assessed using the Brief Pain Inventory. Chronic postsurgical pain was defined as a change ≥1 in self-rated average pain at the surgical site between baseline and 90 days, and moderate to severe chronic postsurgical pain as a score ≥4 in self-rated average pain at the surgical site at 90 days. Risk factors for chronic postsurgical pain were identified using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Between November 2021 and January 2023, a total of 2054 participants were included, and chronic postsurgical pain occurred in 12% of participants, of whom 93.1% had new chronic pain at the surgical site (i.e., participants without pain prior to surgery). Moderate to severe chronic postsurgical pain occurred in 9% of overall participants. Factors associated with chronic postsurgical pain were: active smoking (OR 1.82; 95% CI 1.20 to 2.76), orthopaedic surgery (OR 4.7; 95% CI 2.24 to 9.7), plastic surgery (OR 4.3; 95% CI 1.97 to 9.2), breast surgery (OR 2.74; 95% CI 1.29 to 5.8), vascular surgery (OR 2.71; 95% CI 1.09 to 6.7), and ethnicity (i.e., Hispanic/Latino ethnicity OR 3.41; 95% CI 1.68 to 6.9 and First Nations/Native persons OR 4.0; 95% CI 1.05 to 15.4). CONCLUSIONS: Persistent postsurgical pain after same-day surgery is common, usually moderate to severe in nature, and occurs mostly in patients without chronic pain prior to surgery.

The Gathering Storm: The 2023 Rovenstine Lecture.

Anesthesiologists are currently in demand and highly compensated. What appears to be a great success from our perspective is considered problematic from every other healthcare perspective. Consequently, there are powerful healthcare forces seeking to improve anesthesia access and reduce service cost. They will try to impose solutions that may radically change operative anesthesia. The Rovenstine lecture, delivered on World Anesthesia Day 2023, identified substantial challenges our specialty faces and discusses solutions that might be forced on us. It also presented opportunities in perioperative care.

One-lung ventilation with fixed and variable tidal volumes on oxygenation and pulmonary outcomes: A randomized trial.

OBJECTIVE: Test the hypothesis that one-lung ventilation with variable tidal volume improves intraoperative oxygenation and reduces postoperative pulmonary complications after lung resection. BACKGROUND: Constant tidal volume and respiratory rate ventilation can lead to atelectasis. Animal and human ARDS studies indicate that oxygenation improves with variable tidal volumes. Since one-lung ventilation shares characteristics with ARDS, we tested the hypothesis that one-lung ventilation with variable tidal volume improves intraoperative oxygenation and reduces postoperative pulmonary complications after lung resection. DESIGN: Randomized trial. SETTING: Operating rooms and a post-anesthesia care unit. PATIENTS: Adults having elective open or video-assisted thoracoscopic lung resection surgery with general anesthesia were randomly assigned to intraoperative ventilation with fixed (n = 70) or with variable (n = 70) tidal volumes. INTERVENTIONS: Patients assigned to fixed ventilation had a tidal volume of 6 ml/kgPBW, whereas those assigned to variable ventilation had tidal volumes ranging from 6 ml/kg PBW ± 33% which varied randomly at 5-min intervals. MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was intraoperative oxygenation; secondary outcomes were postoperative pulmonary complications, mortality within 90 days of surgery, heart rate, and SpO2/FiO2 ratio. RESULTS: Data from 128 patients were analyzed with 65 assigned to fixed-tidal volume ventilation and 63 to variable-tidal volume ventilation. The time-weighted average PaO2 during one-lung ventilation was 176 (86) mmHg in patients ventilated with fixed-tidal volume and 147 (72) mmHg in the patients ventilated with variable-tidal volume, a difference that was statistically significant (p < 0.01) but less than our pre-defined clinically meaningful threshold of 50 mmHg. At least one composite complication occurred in 11 (17%) of patients ventilated with variable-tidal volume and in 17 (26%) of patients assigned to fixed-tidal volume ventilation, with a relative risk of 0.67 (95% CI 0.34-1.31, p = 0.24). Atelectasis in the ventilated lung was less common with variable-tidal volumes (4.7%) than fixed-tidal volumes (20%) in the initial three postoperative days, with a relative risk of 0.24 (95% CI 0.01-0.8, p = 0.02), but there were no significant late postoperative differences. No other secondary outcomes were both statistically significant and clinically meaningful. CONCLUSION: One-lung ventilation with variable tidal volume does not meaningfully improve intraoperative oxygenation, and does not reduce postoperative pulmonary complications.

Comparison of differences in cohort (forwards) and case control (backwards) methodological approaches for validation of the Hypotension Prediction Index.

BACKGROUND: The Hypotension Prediction Index (the index) software is a machine learning algorithm that detects physiological changes that may lead to hypotension. The original validation used a case control (backwards) analysis that has been suggested to be biased. We therefore conducted a cohort (forwards) analysis and compared this to the original validation technique. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from previously reported studies. All data were analysed identically with 2 different methodologies and receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) constructed. Both backwards and forwards analyses were performed to examine differences in area under the ROC for HPI and other haemodynamic variables to predict a MAP < 65mmHg for at least 1 minute 5, 10 and 15 minutes in advance. RESULTS: Two thousand and twenty-two patients were included in the analysis, yielding 4,152,124 measurements taken at 20 second intervals. The area-under-the-curve for the index predicting hypotension analysed by backward and forward methodologies respectively was 0.957 (95% CI, 0.947-0.964) vs 0.923 (95% CI, 0.912-0.933) 5 minutes in advance, 0.933 (95% CI, 0.924-0.942) vs 0.923 (95% CI, 0.911-0.933) 10 minutes in advance , and 0.929 (95% CI, 0.918-0.938) vs. 0.926 (95% CI, 0.914-0.937) 15 minutes in advance. No other variable had an area-under-the-curve > 0.7 except for MAP. Area-under-the-curve using forward analysis for MAP predicting hypotension 5, 10, and 15 minutes in advance was 0.932 (95% CI, 0.920-0.940), 0.929 (95% CI, 0.918-0.938), and 0.932 (95% CI, 0.921-0.940). The R 2 for the variation in the index due to MAP was 0.77. CONCLUSION: Using an updated methodology, we found the utility of the HPI index to predict future hypotensive events is high, with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve similar to that of the original validation method.

Processed electroencephalography-guided general anesthesia and norepinephrine requirements: A randomized trial in patients having vascular surgery.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Processed electroencephalography (pEEG) may help clinicians optimize depth of general anesthesia. Avoiding excessive depth of anesthesia may reduce intraoperative hypotension and the need for vasopressors. We tested the hypothesis that pEEG-guided - compared to non-pEEG-guided - general anesthesia reduces the amount of norepinephrine needed to keep intraoperative mean arterial pressure above 65 mmHg in patients having vascular surgery. DESIGN: Randomized controlled clinical trial. SETTING: University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany. PATIENTS: 110 patients having vascular surgery. INTERVENTIONS: pEEG-guided general anesthesia. MEASUREMENTS: Our primary endpoint was the average norepinephrine infusion rate from the beginning of induction of anesthesia until the end of surgery. MAIN RESULT: 96 patients were analyzed. The mean ± standard deviation average norepinephrine infusion rate was 0.08 ± 0.04 µg kg-1 min-1 in patients assigned to pEEG-guided and 0.12 ± 0.09 µg kg-1 min-1 in patients assigned to non-pEEG-guided general anesthesia (mean difference 0.04 µg kg-1 min-1, 95% confidence interval 0.01 to 0.07 µg kg-1 min-1, p = 0.004). Patients assigned to pEEG-guided versus non-pEEG-guided general anesthesia, had a median time-weighted minimum alveolar concentration of 0.7 (0.6, 0.8) versus 0.8 (0.7, 0.8) (p = 0.006) and a median percentage of time Patient State Index was <25 of 12 (1, 41) % versus 23 (3, 49) % (p = 0.279). CONCLUSION: pEEG-guided - compared to non-pEEG-guided - general anesthesia reduced the amount of norepinephrine needed to keep mean arterial pressure above 65 mmHg by about a third in patients having vascular surgery. Whether reduced intraoperative norepinephrine requirements resulting from pEEG-guided general anesthesia translate into improved patient-centered outcomes remains to be determined in larger trials.

Blood bupivacaine concentrations after pecto-serratus and serratus anterior plane injections of plain and liposomal bupivacaine in robotically-assisted mitral valve surgery: Sub-study of a randomized trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To investigate the timing of peak blood concentrations and potential toxicity when using a combination of plain and liposomal bupivacaine for thoracic fascial plane blocks. DESIGN: Pharmacokinetic analysis. SETTING: Operating room. PATIENTS: Eighteen adult patients undergoing robotically-assisted mitral valve surgery. INTERVENTIONS: Ultrasound-guided pecto-serratus and serratus anterior plane blocks using a mixture of 0.5% bupivacaine HCl up to 2.5 mg/kg and liposomal bupivacaine up to 266 mg. MEASUREMENTS: Arterial plasma bupivacaine concentration. MAIN RESULTS: Samples from 13 participants were analyzed. There was substantial inter-patient variability in plasma concentrations. A geometric mean maximum bupivacaine concentration was 1492 ng/ml (range 660 to 4650 ng/ml) at median time of 30 min after injection. In 4/13 (31%) patients, plasma bupivacaine concentrations exceeded our predefined 2000 ng/ml toxic threshold. A second much smaller peak was observed about 32 h after the injection. No obvious signs of local anesthetic toxicity were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Combined injection of plain and liposomal bupivacaine for pecto-serratus/serratus anterior plane blocks produced a biphasic pattern, with the highest arterial plasma concentrations observed within 30 min. Maximum concentrations exceeded the potential toxic threshold in nearly a third of patients, but without clinical evidence of toxicity. Clinicians should not assume that routine combinations of plain and liposomal bupivacaine for thoracic fascial plane blocks are inherently safe.

Video Laryngoscopy vs Direct Laryngoscopy for Endotracheal Intubation in the Operating Room: A Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Endotracheal tubes are typically inserted in the operating room using direct laryngoscopy. Video laryngoscopy has been reported to improve airway visualization; however, whether improved visualization reduces intubation attempts in surgical patients is unclear. Objective: To determine whether the number of intubation attempts per surgical procedure is lower when initial laryngoscopy is performed using video laryngoscopy or direct laryngoscopy. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cluster randomized multiple crossover clinical trial conducted at a single US academic hospital. Patients were adults aged 18 years or older having elective or emergent cardiac, thoracic, or vascular surgical procedures who required single-lumen endotracheal intubation for general anesthesia. Patients were enrolled from March 30, 2021, to December 31, 2022. Data analysis was based on intention to treat. Interventions: Two sets of 11 operating rooms were randomized on a 1-week basis to perform hyperangulated video laryngoscopy or direct laryngoscopy for the initial intubation attempt. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the number of operating room intubation attempts per surgical procedure. Secondary outcomes were intubation failure, defined as the responsible clinician switching to an alternative laryngoscopy device for any reason at any time, or by more than 3 intubation attempts, and a composite of airway and dental injuries. Results: Among 8429 surgical procedures in 7736 patients, the median patient age was 66 (IQR, 56-73) years, 35% (2950) were women, and 85% (7135) had elective surgical procedures. More than 1 intubation attempt was required in 77 of 4413 surgical procedures (1.7%) randomized to receive video laryngoscopy vs 306 of 4016 surgical procedures (7.6%) randomized to receive direct laryngoscopy, with an estimated proportional odds ratio for the number of intubation attempts of 0.20 (95% CI, 0.14-0.28; P < .001). Intubation failure occurred in 12 of 4413 surgical procedures (0.27%) using video laryngoscopy vs 161 of 4016 surgical procedures (4.0%) using direct laryngoscopy (relative risk, 0.06; 95% CI, 0.03-0.14; P < .001) with an unadjusted absolute risk difference of -3.7% (95% CI, -4.4% to -3.2%). Airway and dental injuries did not differ significantly between video laryngoscopy (41 injuries [0.93%]) vs direct laryngoscopy (42 injuries [1.1%]). Conclusion and Relevance: In this study among adults having surgical procedures who required single-lumen endotracheal intubation for general anesthesia, hyperangulated video laryngoscopy decreased the number of attempts needed to achieve endotracheal intubation compared with direct laryngoscopy at a single academic medical center in the US. Results suggest that video laryngoscopy may be a preferable approach for intubating patients undergoing surgical procedures. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04701762.

Metformin Use in Type 2 Diabetics and Delirium After Noncardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The cause of postoperative delirium is unknown, but it is thought to result at least in part from inflammation. Metformin, besides its hypoglycemic properties, demonstrates anti-inflammatory effects systemically and in the brain. We tested the primary hypothesis that chronic metformin use in adults with type 2 diabetes is associated with less delirium during the first 5 days after major noncardiac surgery. Secondary outcomes were a composite of serious complications (myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, stage 2-3 acute kidney injury [AKI], and mortality) and time to discharge alive. METHODS: We considered adults with type 2 diabetes who did or did not routinely use metformin daily and had noncardiac surgery. Delirium was assessed by Confusion Assessment Method for Intensive Care Unit (CAM-ICU) or brief Confusion Assessment Method (bCAM) for 5 postoperative days. Postoperative AKI was defined by Kidney Disease Improving Global Guidelines. Logistic regression and generalized estimating equation models accounted for within-patient correlation across multiple surgeries and explored the association between metformin use and postoperative delirium and complications. Inverse propensity score weighting and propensity score calibration (PSC) adjusted for confounding variables. RESULTS: No significant difference was observed in the incidence of postoperative delirium between the 2 groups, with 260 of 4744 cases (5.5%) among metformin users and 502 of 5918 cases (8.5%) cases in nonmetformin users, for an odds ratio of 0.88 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73-1.05; P = .155), number-needed-to-expose = 118 patients. Similarly, there were fewer composite complications in metformin users (3.3%) than in nonusers (11.7%); However, the common-effect odds ratio of 0.67 was not statistically significant (97.5% CI, 0.39-1.17; P = .106). Discharge from the hospital was significantly faster in patients who took metformin (3 [interquartile range, IQR, 1-5] days for metformin users and 3 [IQR, 2-6] days for nonmetformin users), with a hazard ratio of 1.07 for early discharge, and tight CIs (1.01-1.13). CONCLUSIONS: Chronic metformin use was associated with slightly and nonsignificantly less delirium. However, patients who used metformin had clinically meaningfully fewer major complications, mostly stage 2 to 3 kidney injury. While not statistically significant, the reduction was substantial and warrants further investigation because there is currently no effective preventive measure for perioperative renal injury. Benefit would be especially meaningful if it could be produced by acute perioperative treatment. Finally, metformin was associated with faster hospital discharge, although not by a clinically meaningful amount.

Smallest Clinically Meaningful Improvement in Amputation-Related Pain and Brief Pain Inventory Scores as Defined by Patient Reports of Global Improvement After Cryoneurolysis: a Retrospective Analysis of a Randomized, Controlled Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: The smallest meaningful improvement in pain scores (minimal clinically important difference [MCID]) after an analgesic intervention is essential information when both interpreting published data and designing a clinical trial. However, limited information is available for patients with chronic pain conditions, and what is published is derived from studies involving pharmacologic and psychological interventions. We here calculate these values based on data collected from 144 participants of a previously published multicenter clinical trial investigating the effects of a single treatment with percutaneous cryoneurolysis. METHODS: In the original trial, we enrolled patients with a lower-limb amputation and established phantom pain. Each received a single-injection femoral and sciatic nerve block with lidocaine and was subsequently randomized to receive either ultrasound-guided percutaneous cryoneurolysis or sham treatment at these same locations. Investigators, participants, and clinical staff were masked to treatment group assignment with the exception of the treating physician performing the cryoneurolysis, who had no subsequent participant interaction. At both baseline and 4 months (primary end point), participants rated their phantom limb pain based on a numeric rating scale (NRS) and their interference of pain on physical and emotional functioning as measured with the Brief Pain Inventory's interference subscale. They subsequently qualitatively defined the change using the 7-point ordinal Patient Global Impression of Change (PGIC). The smallest clinically meaningful improvements in phantom limb pain and Brief Pain Inventory scores were calculated using an anchor-based method based on the PGIC. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range [IQR]) phantom pain NRS (0-10) improvements at 4 months considered small, medium, and large were 1 [1-1], 3 [3-4], and 4 [3-6], respectively. The median improvements in the Brief Pain Inventory interference subscale (0-70) associated with a small, medium, and large analgesic changes were 16 [6-18], 24 [22-31], and 34 [22-46]. The proportions of patients that experienced PGIC ≥5 were 33% and 36% in the active and placebo groups, respectively. The relative risk of a patient experiencing PGIC ≥5 in the active group compared to the sham group with 95% confidence interval was 0.9 (0.6-1.4), P = .667. CONCLUSIONS: Amputees with phantom limb pain treated with percutaneous cryoneurolysis rate analgesic improvements as clinically meaningful similar to pharmacologic treatments, although their MCID for the Brief Pain Inventory was somewhat larger than previously published values. This information on patient-defined clinically meaningful improvements will facilitate interpretation of available studies and guide future trial design.

Lost in Translation: Failure of Preclinical Studies to Accurately Predict the Effect of Regional Analgesia on Cancer Recurrence.

The major goal of translational research is to evaluate the efficacy and effectiveness of treatments and interventions that have emerged from exhaustive preclinical evidence. In 2007, a major clinical trial was started to investigate the impact of paravertebral analgesia on breast cancer recurrence. The trial was based on preclinical evidence demonstrating that spinal anesthesia suppressed metastatic dissemination by inhibiting surgical stress, boosting the immunological response, avoiding volatile anesthetics, and reducing opioid use. However, that trial and three more recent randomized trials with a total of 4,770 patients demonstrate that regional analgesia does not improve survival outcomes after breast, lung, and abdominal cancers. An obvious question is why there was an almost complete disconnect between the copious preclinical investigations suggesting benefit and robust clinical trials showing no benefit? The answer is complex but may result from preclinical research being mechanistically driven and based on reductionist models. Both basic scientists and clinical investigators underestimated the limitations of various preclinical models, leading to the apparently incorrect hypothesis that regional anesthesia reduces cancer recurrence. This article reviews factors that contributed to the discordance between the laboratory science, suggesting that regional analgesia might reduce cancer recurrence and clinical trials showing that it does not-and what can be learned from the disconnect.

Long-term Outcomes with Spinal versus General Anesthesia for Hip Fracture Surgery: A Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: The effects of spinal versus general anesthesia on long-term outcomes have not been well studied. This study tested the hypothesis that spinal anesthesia is associated with better long-term survival and functional recovery than general anesthesia. METHODS: A prespecified analysis was conducted of long-term outcomes of a completed randomized superiority trial that compared spinal anesthesia versus general anesthesia for hip fracture repair. Participants included previously ambulatory patients 50 yr of age or older at 46 U.S. and Canadian hospitals. Patients were randomized 1:1 to spinal or general anesthesia, stratified by sex, fracture type, and study site. Outcome assessors and investigators involved in the data analysis were masked to the treatment arm. Outcomes included survival at up to 365 days after randomization (primary); recovery of ambulation among 365-day survivors; and composite endpoints for death or new inability to ambulate and death or new nursing home residence at 365 days. Patients were included in the analysis as randomized. RESULTS: A total of 1,600 patients were enrolled between February 12, 2016, and February 18, 2021; 795 were assigned to spinal anesthesia, and 805 were assigned to general anesthesia. Among 1,599 patients who underwent surgery, vital status information at or beyond the final study interview (conducted at approximately 365 days after randomization) was available for 1,427 (89.2%). Survival did not differ by treatment arm; at 365 days after randomization, there were 98 deaths in patients assigned to spinal anesthesia versus 92 deaths in patients assigned to general anesthesia (hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.44, P = 0.59). Recovery of ambulation among patients who survived a year did not differ by type of anesthesia (adjusted odds ratio for spinal vs. general, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.14; P = 0.31). Other outcomes did not differ by treatment arm. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term outcomes were similar with spinal versus general anesthesia.

Development and validation of delirium prediction models for noncardiac surgery patients.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Postoperative delirium is associated with morbidity and mortality, and its incidence varies widely. Using known predisposing and precipitating factors, we sought to develop postoperative delirium prediction models for noncardiac surgical patients. DESIGN: Retrospective prediction model study. SETTING: Major quaternary medical center. PATIENTS: Our January 2016 to June 2020 training dataset included 51,677 patients of whom 2795 patients had delirium. Our July 2020 to January 2022 validation dataset included 14,438 patients of whom 912 patients had delirium. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS: We trained and validated two static prediction models and one dynamic delirium prediction model. For the static models, we used random survival forests and traditional Cox proportional hazard models to predict postoperative delirium from preoperative variables, or from a combination of preoperative and intraoperative variables. We also used landmark modeling to dynamically predict postoperative delirium using preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables before onset of delirium. MAIN RESULTS: In the validation analyses, the static random forest model had a c-statistic of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.79, 0.82) and a Brier score of 0.04 with preoperative variables only, and a c-statistic of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.84, 0.87) and a Brier score of 0.04 when preoperative and intraoperative variables were combined. The corresponding Cox models had similar discrimination metrics with slightly better calibration. The dynamic model - using all available data, i.e., preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative data - had an overall c-index of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.85). CONCLUSIONS: Using preoperative and intraoperative variables, simple static models performed as well as a dynamic delirium prediction model that also included postoperative variables. Baseline predisposing factors thus appear to contribute far more to delirium after noncardiac surgery than intraoperative or postoperative variables. Improved postoperative data capture may help improve delirium prediction and should be evaluated in future studies.

Intraoperative blood pressure and cardiac complications after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies report that intraoperative hypotension worsens outcomes after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). However, the hypotensive harm threshold for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) remains unclear. METHODS: The authors included aSAH patients who had general anesthesia for aneurysmal clipping/coiling. MACE were defined by a composite of acute myocardial injury, acute myocardial infarction, and other cardiovascular complications identified by electrocardiogram and echocardiography. The authors initially used logistic regression and change-point analysis based on the second derivative to identify mean arterial pressure (MAP) of 75 mmHg as the harm threshold. Thereafter, our major exposure was MAP below 75 mmHg characterized by area, duration, and time-weighted average. The area below 75 mmHg represents the severity and duration of exposure and was defined as the sum of all areas below a specified threshold using the trapezoid rule. Time-weighted average MAP was derived by dividing area below the threshold by the duration of anesthesia. All analyses were adjusted for baseline risk factors including age greater than 70 years, female sex, severity of intracerebral hemorrhage, history of cardiovascular disease, and preoperative elevated myocardial enzymes. RESULTS: Among 1029 patients enrolled, 254 (25%) developed postoperative MACE. Patients who experienced MACE were slightly older (59±11 vs. 54±11 years), were slightly more often women (69 vs. 58%), and had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular history (65 vs. 47%). Adjusted cardiovascular risk increased nearly linearly over the entire range of observed MAP. However, there was a slight inflexion at MAP of 75 mmHg. MACE was significantly associated with area [adjusted odds ratios (aOR) 1.004 per 10 mmHg.min, 95% CI: 1.001-1.007, P =0.002), duration (aOR 1.031 per 10 min, 95% CI: 1.009-1.054, P =0.006), and time-weighted average (aOR 3.516 per 10 mmHg, 95% CI: 1.818-6.801, P <0.001) of MAP less than 75 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: Lower blood pressures were associated with cardiovascular complications over the entire observed range, but worsened when MAP was less than 75 mmHg. Pending trial data to establish causality, it may be prudent to keep MAP above 75 mmHg in patients having surgical aSAH repairs to reduce the risk of MACE.

Innovative designs for trials informing the care of cardiac surgical patients: Part II.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review examines advances in clinical trial methodologies relevant to cardiac anesthesia. It focuses on innovative approaches, including factorial randomization, composite outcomes, and cluster randomized trials, which enhance the efficiency, practical relevance, and generalizability of trial outcomes. RECENT FINDINGS: Factorial randomization is becoming popular because the approach allows investigators to simultaneously evaluate two or more interventions. Furthermore, factorial designs can evaluate interactions among treatments which is highly relevant information that cannot be obtained from separate trials. Composite outcomes are also increasingly utilized, combining multiple individual outcomes into a single measure, which increases statistical power and can better represent relevant physiology. Designing valid composites requires careful consideration of component outcome severity and incidence. Cluster randomized trials, including stepped wedge and multiple crossover designs, address the challenges of group-level effects and shared environments. SUMMARY: The evolution of clinical trial designs is marked by a shift towards methodologies that enhance efficiency and provide more nuanced insights into treatment effects. These include factorial designs for simultaneous intervention assessment, composite outcomes for comprehensive physiological representation, and cluster trials for group-level effect analysis. Such advancements are shaping the future of clinical research, making it more relevant, efficient, and broadly applicable.